Tuesday, January 31, 2012

Financial Inclusion - Panacea to India's MicroEconomic Woes


India has seen historic progress and growth in the past decade. While the growth story has been impressive, there are causes for concern on other dimensions. We have a long way to go in addressing concerns of absolute poverty. Low-income Indian households in the informal or subsistence economy often have to borrow from friends, family or usurious moneylenders. They have little awareness and practically no access to insurance products that could protect their financial resources in unexpected circumstances such as illness, property damage or death of the primary breadwinner.
 
Unrestrained access to public goods and services is an essential condition of an open and efficient society. It is argued that as banking services are in the nature of a public good, it is essential that the availability of banking services to the entire population without discrimination is the prime objective of public policy. Expectations of poor people from the financial system is security and safety of deposits, low transaction costs, convenient operating time, minimum paper work, frequent deposits, and quick and easy access to credit and other products, including remittances suitable to their income and consumption.


It is now well understood that commerce with the poor is more viable and profitable, provided there is ability to do business with them. The provision of uncomplicated, small, affordable products can help bring low-income families into the formal financial sector. Taking into account their seasonal inflow of income from agricultural operations, migration from one place to another, and seasonal and irregular work availability and income, the existing financial system needs to be designed to suit their requirements. Mainstream financial institutions such as banks have an important role to play in this effort, not as a social obligation, but as a pure business proposition.

What is Financial Inclusion
Financial inclusion is the availability of banking services at an affordable cost to disadvantaged and low-income groups. In India the basic concept of financial inclusion is having a saving or current account with any bank. In reality it includes loans, insurance services and much more.

 The  present picture of India in regard to Banking & Financial Services System are
  • ·        Only 34% of Indian individuals have access to or receive banking services. In order to increase this number the Reserve Bank of India had the Government of India take innovative steps. One of the reasons for opening new branches of Regional Rural Banks was to make sure that the banking service is accessible to the poor.
  •    The first-ever Index of Financial Inclusion to find out the extent of reach of banking services among 100 countries, India has been ranked 50.

  •        With the directive from RBI, our banks are now offering “No Frill” Accounts to low income groups. These accounts either have a low minimum or nil balance with some restriction in transactions. The individual bank has the authority to decide whether the account should have zero or minimum balance. With the combined effort of financial institutions, six million new ‘No Frill’ accounts were opened in the period between March 2006-2007. Banks are now considering FI as a business opportunity in an overall environment that facilitates growth.

  • ·        Also , It is estimated that about 40% of Indians lack access even to the simplest kind of formal financial services.

Problems in Implementing Financial Inclusion
  • ·        The main reason for financial exclusion is the lack of a regular or substantial income. In most of the cases people with low income do not qualify for a loan.
  • ·        The proximity of the financial service is another fact. The loss is not only the transportation cost but also the loss of daily wages for a low income individual.
  • ·         Most of the excluded consumers are not aware of the bank’s products, which are beneficial for them.
  • ·        Getting money for their financial requirements from a local money lender is easier than getting a loan from the bank.
  • ·        Most of the banks need collateral for their loans. It is very difficult for a low income individual to find collateral for a bank loan.
  • ·        Moreover, banks give more importance to meeting their financial targets. So they focus on larger accounts. It is not profitable for banks to provide small loans and make a profit.
Financial inclusion mainly focuses on the poor who do not have formal financial institutional support and getting them out of the clutches of local money lenders. As a first step towards this, some of our banks have now come forward with general purpose credit cards and artisan credit cards which offer collateral-free small loans. The RBI has simplified the KYC (Know your customer) norms for opening a ‘No frill’ account. This will help the low income individual to open a ‘No Frill’ account without identity proof and address proof.

In such cases banks can take the individual’s introduction from an existing customer whose full KYC norm procedure has been completed. And the introducer must have a satisfactory transaction with the bank for at least 6 months. This simplified procedure is available to those who intend to keep a balance not exceeding Rs.50,000 in all accounts taken together. With this facility we can channel the untapped, considerable amount of money from the low income group to the formal economy. Banks are now permitted to utilize the service of NGOs, SHGs and other civil society organizations as intermediaries in providing financial and banking services through the use of business facilitator and business correspondent models.

Self Help Groups are playing a very important role in the process of financial inclusion. SHGs are usually groups of women who get together and pool money from their savings and lend money among them. Usually they are working with the support of an NGO. The SHG is given loans against the group members’ guarantee. Peer pressure within the group helps in improving recoveries. Through SHGs nearly 40 million households are linking with the banks. Micro finance is another tool which links low income groups to the banks.

Yet, banks are fighting to fulfill the Financial Inclusion dream. The main reason is that the products designed by the banks are not satisfying the low income families. The provision of uncomplicated, small, affordable products will help to bring the low income families into the formal financial sector. Banks have limitations to reach directly to the low income consumers. Correspondents can be considered to be an excellent channel which banks can use to distribute their product information. Educating the consumers about the financial benefits and products of banks which are beneficial to low income groups will be a great step to tap their potential.

Banks are now using new technologies like mobile phones to reach low income consumers. It is possible that the telephone providers themselves will start basic banking services like savings and payments. Indian telecom consumers have few links to financial institutions. So without much difficulty telecom providers can win the battle with banks. Banks should therefore be proactive about transferring this technology into an opportunity.
History of Financial Inclusion in India 
The Indian Government has a long history of working to expand financial inclusion. Nationalization of the major private sector banks in 1969 was a big step. In 1975 GOI established RRBs with the same aim. It encouraged branch expansion of bank branches especially in rural areas. The RBI guidelines to banks shows that 40% of their net bank credit should be lent to the priority sector. This mainly consists of agriculture, small scale industries, retail trade etc. More than 80% of our population depends directly or indirectly on agriculture. So 18% of net bank credit should go to agriculture lending. Recent simplification of KYC norms are another milestone.
Financial inclusion is a great step to alleviate poverty in India. But to achieve this, the government should provide a less perspective environment in which banks are free to pursue the innovations necessary to reach low income consumers and still make a profit. Financial service providers should learn more about the consumers and new business models to reach them.
The requisite need can be fulfilled & implemented in the following ways :
1)Appropriate financial products
Financial inclusion is the process of ensuring access to appropriate financial products and services needed by vulnerable groups such as weaker sections and low-income groups at an affordable cost in a fair and transparent manner by mainstream institutional players. Financial inclusion has become one of the most critical aspects in the context of inclusive growth and development.
The importance of an inclusive financial system is widely recognized in policy circles and has become a policy priority in many countries. Several countries across the globe now look at financial inclusion as the means to more comprehensive growth, wherein each citizen of the country is able to use earnings as a financial resource that can be put to work to improve future financial status and adding to the nation’s progress.
Initiatives for financial inclusion have come from financial regulators, governments and the banking industry. The banking sector has taken a lead role in promoting financial inclusion. Legislative measures have been initiated in some countries. For example, in the US, the Community Reinvestment Act (1997) requires banks to offer credit throughout their entire area of operation and prohibits them from targeting only the rich neighbourhoods. In France, the law on exclusion (1998) emphasizes an individual’s right to have a bank account.

The German Bankers’ Association introduced a voluntary code in 1996 providing for a so-called “everyman” current banking account that facilitates basic banking transactions. In South Africa, a low-cost bank account, called Mzansi, was launched for financially excluded people in 2004 by the South African Banking Association. In the UK, a Financial Inclusion Task Force was constituted by the government in 2005 in order to monitor the development of the process.

Several African countries have harnessed the unique aspects of mobile banking to drive financial inclusion. A G-20 (Group of Twenty) Financial Inclusion Experts Group has been launched. The Principles for Innovative Financial Inclusion serve as a guide for policy and regulatory approaches with the objectives of fostering safe and sound adoption of innovative, adequate, low-cost financial delivery models, helping provide conditions for fair competition and a framework of incentives for the various banking, insurance, and non-banking entities involved and delivery of the full range of affordable and quality financial services.
2) Broader financial inclusion
India has, for a long time, recognized the social and economic imperatives for broader financial inclusion and has made an enormous contribution to economic development by finding innovative ways to empower the poor. Starting with the nationalization of banks, priority sector lending requirements for banks, lead bank scheme, establishment of, regional rural banks (RRBs) service area approach, self-help group-bank linkage programme, etc., multiple steps have been taken by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) over the years to increase access to the poorer segments of society.
It encouraged expansion of bank branches, especially in rural areas, resulting in multifold increase in branch network from around 8,000 in 1969 to more than 89,000 today, spread across the length and breadth of the country. The accompanying chart and graph show population group-wise distribution of bank branches of scheduled commercial banks, including RRBs, over all these years.

The major barriers to serve the poor, apart from socioeconomic factors such as lack of regular income, poverty, illiteracy, etc., are the lack of reach, higher cost of transactions and time taken in providing those services. Products designed by the banks are not tailored to suit the needs of low-income families. The existing business models do not pass the test of scalability, convenience, reliability, flexibility and continuity.
In India, the term financial inclusion first featured in 2005, when RBI, in its annual policy statement of 2005-06, while recognizing the concerns in regard to the banking practices that tend to exclude rather than attract vast sections of the population, urged banks to review their existing practices to align them with the objective of financial inclusion.
3) National commitment
Moving towards universal financial inclusion has been both a national commitment as well as a public policy priority for our country. To achieve the ultimate objective of reaching banking services to all the 600,000 villages, financial inclusion has to become a viable business proposition for the banks.
For this to happen, the delivery model needs to be devised carefully so as to move from a cost-centric model to a revenue-generation model. This will help in providing customers with quality banking services at their doorstep and at the same time generating business opportunities for the banks. 

This is sustainable only if delivery of banking services, at the minimum, includes the following four products:
A savings-cum-overdraft account
• A remittance product for electronic benefits transfer (EBT) and other remittances
• A pure savings product, ideally a recurring deposit scheme
• Entrepreneurial credit in the form of a kisan credit card (KCC) or a general credit card (GCC).
RBI has been undertaking financial inclusion initiatives in a mission mode through a combination of strategies ranging from provision of new products, relaxation of regulatory guidelines and other supportive measures to achieve sustainable and scalable financial inclusion.
In India, RBI has initiated several measures to achieve greater financial inclusion, such as facilitating no-frills accounts and GCCs for small deposits and credit. Some of these steps are:
4 )Opening of no-frills accounts: Basic banking no-frills accounts with nil or very low minimum balance as well as charges that make such accounts accessible to vast sections of the population. Banks have been advised to provide small overdrafts in such accounts.
5 )Relaxation on know-your-customer (KYC) norms: KYC requirements for opening bank accounts were relaxed for small accounts in August 2005, thereby simplifying procedures by stipulating that introduction by an account holder who has been subjected to the full KYC drill would suffice for opening such accounts.
The banks were also permitted to take any evidence as to the identity and address of the customer to their satisfaction. It has now been further relaxed to include the letters issued by the Unique Identification Authority of India containing details of name, address and Aadhaar number.
6 )Engaging business correspondents (BCs): In January 2006, RBI permitted banks to engage business facilitators (BFs) and BCs as intermediaries for providing financial and banking services. The BC model allows banks to provide doorstep delivery of services, especially cash in-cash out transactions, thus addressing the last-mile problem. The list of eligible individuals and entities that can be engaged as BCs is being widened from time to time. With effect from September 2010, for-profit companies have also been allowed to be engaged as BCs.
7 )Use of technology: 
 Recognizing that technology has the potential to address the issues of outreach and credit delivery in rural and remote areas in a viable manner, banks have been advised to make effective use of information and communications technology (ICT), to provide doorstep banking services through the BC model where the accounts can be operated by even illiterate customers by using biometrics, thus ensuring the security of transactions and enhancing confidence in the banking system.

8) Adoption of EBT(Electronic Benefit Transfer): Banks have been advised to implement EBT by leveraging ICT-based banking through BCs to transfer social benefits electronically to the bank account of the beneficiary and deliver government benefits to the doorstep of the beneficiary, thus reducing dependence on cash and lowering transaction costs.

9 ) GCC(General Purpose Credit Card):  
With a view to helping the poor and the disadvantaged with access to easy credit, banks have been asked to consider introduction of a general purpose credit card facility up to Rs.25,000 at their rural and semi-urban branches. The objective of the scheme is to provide hassle-free credit to banks’ customers based on the assessment of cash flow without insistence on security, purpose or end use of the credit. This is in the nature of revolving credit entitling the holder to withdraw up to the limit sanctioned.

10 )Simplified branch authorization: To address the issue of uneven spread of bank branches, in December 2009, domestic scheduled commercial banks were permitted to freely open branches in tier III to tier VI centres with a population of less than 50,000 under general permission, subject to reporting. In the north-eastern states and Sikkim, domestic scheduled commercial banks can now open branches in rural, semi-urban and urban centres without the need to take permission from RBI in each case, subject to reporting.
11 )Opening of branches in unbanked rural centres:To further step up the opening of branches in rural areas so as to improve banking penetration and financial inclusion rapidly, the need for the opening of more bricks and mortar branches, besides the use of BCs, was felt. Accordingly, banks have been mandated in the April monetary policy statement to allocate at least 25% of the total number of branches to be opened during a year to unbanked rural centres.

13) Road map for providing banking services in unbanked villages with a population of more than 2,000: Banks were advised to draw up a road map to provide banking services in every unbanked village having a population of over 2,000 by March 2012. RBI advised banks that such banking services need not necessarily be extended through a bricks and mortar branch, but could also be provided through any of the various forms of ICT-based models. About 73,000 such unbanked villages were identified and allotted to various banks through state-level bankers’ committees.
14 ) Financial inclusion plans of banks for three years: RBI advised all public and private sector banks to submit a board-approved, three-year financial inclusion plan (FIP) starting April 2010. These plans broadly include self-set targets in respect of rural bricks and mortar branches opened; BCs employed; coverage of unbanked villages with a population above 2,000 as also other unbanked villages with population below 2,000 through branches; BCs and other modes; no-frills accounts opened, including through BC-ICT; KCCs and GCCs issued; and other specific products designed by them to cater to the financially excluded segments.
Banks were advised to integrate board-approved FIPs with their business plans and to include the criteria on financial inclusion as a parameter in the performance evaluation of their staff. The progress by commercial banks (excluding RRBs) during the year 2010-11 clearly indicates that banks are on the right path towards deploying BCs, villages covered, opening of no-frills accounts, and grant of credit through KCCs and GCCs. The numbers would be much higher if the figures pertaining to RRBs were to be added.
Future Challenges & Objectives

As indicated above, while India has made enormous strides towards greater financial inclusion, there is a long way to go, about 500,000 villages are yet to be provided with banking services. The financial inclusion for the underprivileged will lead to hosts of downstream opportunities with an estimated 500,000 jobs for the participants to work as BCs at remote villages.
In a networked India in which banking services are extended to all villages, ultimately, a so-called model will emerge where customers will have the option to transact with the bank of their choice in any village by using UID (unique identity)-enabled micro-ATMs (automated teller machines), reducing the dependence on cash and lowering transaction costs. 

The task is gigantic, but definitely achievable by following a systematic approach:
Awareness in general, coupled with financial awareness on opening and operating accounts, must accompany the financial inclusion initiative.
• Banks should prepare comprehensive plans to cover all villages, through a mix of branchless banking and bricks and mortar branch banking. They should speed up enrolment of customers and opening of UID-enabled bank accounts. It envisages putting in place a system that enables routing of all social benefits to bank accounts electronically as also seamless cash transfer to the poor, as and when the government replaces the age-old system of subsidy and public distribution system with cash transfers.
The is highly dependent on the kind of support provided by base branches, especially for cash management, documentation and redressal of customer grievances. Hence, it is necessary that a bricks and mortar structure is available to support about 8-10 BCs at a reasonable distance of 2-3km. These branches can be low-cost intermediary simple structures comprising minimum infrastructure for operating small customer transactions and can act as an effective supervisory mechanism for BC operations.
•As mentioned earlier, banks must provide a minimum four products—a no-frills savings account with an overdraft facility, a pure savings product, entrepreneurial credit and remittance services, and new products tailored to income streams of poor borrowers and according to their needs and interests. Banks must be able to offer the entire suite of financial products and services to poor clients at attractive pricing.
Though the cost of administering small-ticket personal transactions is high, this can be brought down if banks effectively leverage ICT solutions. This can be attained through product innovation with superior cost efficiency. They must understand and penetrate the rural markets efficiently to cross-sell products and services. Mobile banking has tremendous potential and the benefits of m-commerce need to be exploited.
• It is important that adequate infrastructure such as digital and physical connectivity, uninterrupted power supply, etc., is available. All stakeholders will have to work together through sound and purposeful collaborations. Local and national-level organizations have to ensure that these partnerships look at both commercial and social aspects to help achieve scale, sustainability and impact.
This collaborative model will have to tackle exclusion by stimulating demand for appropriate financial products, services and advice with the appropriate delivery mechanism, and by ensuring that there is a supply of appropriate and affordable services available to those that need them.
• Mindset, cultural and attitudinal changes at grass roots and cutting-edge technology levels of branches of banks are needed to impart organizational resilience and flexibility. Banks should institute systems of reward and recognition for personnel initiating, ideating, innovating and successfully executing new products and services in the rural areas.

Conclusion
Empirical evidence shows that economic growth follows financial inclusion. Boosting business opportunities will definitely increase the gross domestic product, which will be reflected in our national income growth. People will have safe savings along with access to allied products and services such as insurance cover, entrepreneurial loans, payment and settlement facility, etc.

Our dream of inclusive growth will not be complete until we create millions of micro-entrepreneurs across the country. All budding entrepreneurs have to face these challenges and find solutions. People working in the social sector should work for filling up the deficit existing in the economic and social arena.
In India Financial inclusion will be good business ground in which the majority of her people will decide the winners and losers.
 
 
To sum up, financial inclusion is the road that India needs to travel toward becoming a global player. Financial access will attract global market players to our country and that will result in increasing employment and business opportunities. Inclusive growth will act as a source of empowerment and allow people to participate more effectively in the economic and social process.




Monday, January 30, 2012

Facebook IPO imminent Nxt Week at 100 billion $ valuation




Facebook is set to file its IPO as early as Wednesday, seeking a valuation between $75 billion and $100 billion, according to the Wall Street Journal, citing unnamed sources.
The company is reportedly seeking to raise as much as $10 billion. If successful, that would make Facebook's offering the sixth largest U.S. IPO and six times larger than Google's initial offering, which is currently the record-holding tech IPO.




The Wall Street  Journal reported that Morgan Stanley is close to securing the leading underwriting role, with Goldman Sachs also playing a key role. 


Mark Zuckerberg founded the company in his Harvard dorm room at age 19. Now 27, Zuckerberg's stake in Facebook will be worth an estimated $20 billion after the IPO — making him one of the world's richest men.


Beyond minting an estimated 1,000 new millionaires at the company, Facebook's initial public stock offering could provide a huge boost to Wall Street investment banks sorely in need of a hot stock to excite investors. The right to manage the IPO will also generate an estimated $250 million in fees.

                  


Facebook faces hurdles, to be sure. Increased competition from Google+ and Twitter is likely forcing the IPO moment. It is expected to raise $10 billion in the offering, giving it a market capitalization of $100 billion. Google, by comparison, raised $1.9 billion in its IPO in 2004.

Facebook has become one of the world's best-known consumer brands and the Web's most popular hangout. And sometime this year it's expected to hit 1 billion users. That's half of all people on the Internet and 1 in 7 people on the planet.

 Prominent Financial Analysts across the world  have predicted The minute the IPO is filed, there will be total chaos in stock markets.


 A successful IPO by one of the USA’s most prominent companies also could power the stock market higher by attracting scores of investors who have been scared off by the volatility in recent years. Facebook’s success lies in the hoard of information it holds about its users — valuable information that advertisers can use to target their products and services. Its growing business has escalated competition with rival tech giants Google andApple Inc.

Wednesday, January 25, 2012

Iran Oil Embargo won't hurt Global Economy


A senior Iranian official delivered a sharp threat in response to economic sanctions being readied by the United States, saying his country would retaliate against any crackdown by blocking all oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, a vital artery for transporting about one-fifth of the world’s oil supply. The declaration by Iran’s first vice president, Mohammad-Reza Rahimi, came as President Obama prepares to sign legislation that, if fully implemented, could substantially reduce Iran’s oil revenue in a bid to deter it from pursuing a nuclear weapons program. Prior to the latest move, the administration had been laying the groundwork to attempt to cut off Iran from global energy markets without raising the price of gasoline or alienating some of Washington’s closest allies.
 
Oil prices rose above $100 a barrel in trading after the threat was issued, though it was unclear how much that could be attributed to investors’ concern that confrontation in the Persian Gulf could disrupt oil flows. The new punitive measures, part of a bill financing the military, would significantly escalate American sanctions against Iran. They come just a month and a half after the International Atomic Energy Agency published a report that for the first time laid out its evidence that Iran may be secretly working to design a nuclear warhead, despite the country’s repeated denials. In the wake of the I.A.E.A. report and a November attack on the British Embassy in Tehran, the European Union is also contemplating strict new sanctions, such as an embargo on Iranian oil.


For five years, the United States has implemented increasingly severe sanctions in an attempt to force Iran’s leaders to reconsider the suspected nuclear weapons program, and answer a growing list of questions from the I.A.E.A. But it has deliberately stopped short of targeting oil exports, which finance as much as half of Iran’s budget. Now, with its hand forced by Congress, the administration is preparing to take that final step, penalizing foreign corporations that do business with Iran’s central bank, which collects payment for most of the country’s energy exports. The sanction would effectively make it difficult for those who do business with Iran’s central bank to also conduct financial transactions with the United States. The legislation allows President Obama to waive sanctions if they cause the price of oil to rise or threaten national security.
To get clearer picture of this simmering global issue between Iran & West ,lets  compares its national capabilities & strength it garners today with respect to current developing scenario .
Iran exports 2.5 million barrels of oil per day, about 3 percent of world supplies. About 500,000 barrels go to Europe and most of the rest goes to China, India, Japan and South Korea. Iranian fields produce a type of oil known as "heavy, sour" crude. While common, these crudes are sulfurous and require more refining and expense to turn into valuable fuels such as gasoline. As a result, they generally cost refiners less than so  sweeter crudes.

It's  highly unlikely  that Iran will try to block the Strait of Hormuz. The international naval response would be overwhelming because the strait is the world's most important energy choke point. Each day, 14 tankers on average squeeze through a shipping channel that, at its narrowest, is just 2 miles wide. If Iran could block it, it would send oil prices spiking to $150 to $200, analysts say, and badly damage Western economies.
If that happened, Iran would hurt itself and its best customers, not just Western nations and producers like Saudi Arabia that also use the strait. Eighty-five percent of the oil that travels through the strait goes to Asian nations, which are not participating in the embargo. Also, it would be all but impossible for Iran to keep its oil flowing through the strait while it tries to block oil from other countries.
Because the strait is likely to remain open, keeping supplies flowing. And because Asian countries, already Iran's biggest customers, aren't joining the Europeans in banning Iranian oil. Also, the European embargo doesn't start until July, so oil markets will likely have time to adjust.As Europe turns away from Iran to other markets, though, it could push up prices for certain types of global crudes. And the animosity  between Iran and the West may already be having some effect on prices,. The U.S. is pressuring other Middle East and African nations to increase production to help keep Europe and the world well-supplied as the embargo slowly takes effect.Still, an increase in production from other nations would leave little  room for those countries to increase supplies further if needed. The oil market gets nervous, and sends prices higher, if it thinks producing nations don't have capacity to pump more oil to make up for a supply interruption somewhere in the world.

Considering the fragile political & economic potential of  isolated Iran under  huge  economic clout exercised by US & its allies ,it highly improbable that it might hurt the Global economy  in long term with some stray untoward incidents that might be unleashed  from infuriated Iran spiking the Global oil prices for limited time by the negative speculations surrounding it.

Monday, January 9, 2012

CES 2012 ,Las Vegas - World's Largest Technology Tradeshow



COMPUTING :
  
Big thing expected from CES 2012 is more clarity & details on Windows 8 with the opening note by Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer again this year followed by  announcement of expected more versions of this OS & possible more prototype hardware. We've only so far seen a developer preview of the new OS – a fuller Public Beta to be available from February. This will be concluded by official announcement for the public release of Windows 8.


MICROPROCESSORS -At last year's CES , Microsoft  announced ARM support for Windows  8 – and are really hoping we'll get more clarity on this at the show. How will Microsoft differentiate ARM and Intel-based tablets and PCs, for example? .This will become an even bigger issue as traditional x86-based software will not be backwards compatible on ARM-based installs of Windows 8.
.After launching its Sandy Bridge range of Intel Core processors at last year's CES, Intel will showcase its successor – Ivy Bridge.with the main keynote delivered by Intel chief Paul Otellini  & a probable release date for Ultrabook Ivy Bridge .However, the new chipsets around the new processor will likely be adorning every motherboard manufacturer's stand.
.On the GRAPHICS side AMD is likely to be making the loudest noises as its new  Southern Island ,28 nm graphics card  due to launch in Q1 2012. We would expect to see varieties of the Radeon HD 7970 and HD 7950, along with the dual-GPU HD 7990.
Nvidia is also set to release new 28mn graphics cards early next year, based on its Kepler architecture, but we don't expect to see any of them at the show.Nvidia is likely to be holding back its cards for a couple of months to see what improvements it needs to make post Southern Island launch.
With AMD's latest APU, Trinity, also on its way early next year we may see some signs of it, and its new FM2 socket. Though early signs would suggest an April/June release more likely.
Biggest attraction will be the new range of Ultrabook Laptops at CES 2012 – not least because Intel is actively encouraging kit manufacturers to create designs for the platform. And, if we're lucky, we might experience some running versions of Windows 8.
It is expected that  the 14-inch  LG Z430 to be shown,as well as similar offerings from HP and Lenovo among others.


There are also rumours that several large manufacturers could launch ARM-based laptop designs at the show – most likely ready for the launch of Windows 8. It wouldn't be the first time we've seen kit like this: 2010's Lenovo Skylight  used a Qualcomm Snapdragon processor.
We'll also see a huge number of peripherals big and small, including demos of the new 802.11ac  WIRELESS TECH , much more USB 3.0 and  Thunderbolt devices .
MOBILE INDUSTRY traditionally launches  its new phones and tablets during February's Mobile World Congress, but such is the fierce and deadly competition to make bigger, faster phones with more cores than ever before, I expect many manufacturers to steal a few weeks of publicity and go big at CES 2012.
Tablets will be huge news. Most high-end models will have moved on from the Tegra 2 chipset that's inside many popular Android models today, so we ought to see plenty of quad-core Tegra 3 tablets at the show. Blackberry is also rumoured to be announcing a second version of its tablet called  Blackberry Playbook 2.0 .
We could also see a new offering from Asus - the Transformer Prime Mini

Home entertainment
Samsung & LG will pack a  punch in this segment .For the last two years Samsung has led the way in terms of TV design with the bezel-less look of the D8000 range . We will see a slew of products launched on similar lines.. LG in particular are nailed on to ape Samsung's design with its new Nano and Plasma ranges.



Samsung has already pre-announced some new audio kit including a Samsung 7.1 channel 3D Blu-ray system. There is  also the Samsung DA-E750 audio doc  that takes Galaxy S and iOS handsets. LG will also be launching  four new home theatres  at the show.
3D, 4K and Smart TV
As expected  we'll be flooded  by new 3D TVs and it's likely  that the majority, if not all the new TVs from the big names at 32-inches and above will be at least 3D-ready.
But we will see lots of 3D innovation this year with  improved crosstalk-free flagship 3D TV models, universal active 3D glasses, and maybe even the appearance of some glasses-free active 3D prototypes which do the shuttering inside the screen..
The next big step on the roadmap for TVs is the introduction of  4K TV panels. While full HD TVs have a resolution of 1920 x 1080 pixels, 4K panels are much sharper with a resolution of 3840 x 2160. Toshiba 55ZL2  glasses-free TV, which launched at IFA in September, has a 4K 2D resolution, and we're expecting a lot more new sets to emerge from the other big names in 2012.
Of course Smart TV is another area of innovation in this field, and we're likely to see some bold new interfaces and features. Opera  is among those promising TV app stores at the show.

LG has announced  that it will introduce a television with integrated Google TV. Google has also confirmed  that Sony and Samsung will be revealing new Google TV devices at the Vegas tech show. In another blow for Intel, Google is also moving Google TV systems over to ARM from Intel chips. Also , Samsung and LG show off some large new OLED prototypes probably 55 inch.

Gaming
 Nintendo Wii U will reappear  at CES with its updated prototype. Also ,rumours are rife that Microsoft may show off a prototype or at least announce the XBOX 720. It’s well known that Microsoft would want to get the next XBOX out before the PLAYSTATION 4 – doing so in retrospect XBOX360 saw it gain a huge headstart & in absence this CES ,it will find a glimpse in E3 2012.

Motorola

Pre-show, the company has announced the budget  Motoluxe and new rugged  Motorola Defy Mini.

HTC

HTC ‘s next rumoured  TABLET  - currently known as  HTC Quattro. It's your usual 10.1" format, only updated with a quad-core processor.
Whereas on MOBILE platform there's the quad-core HTC Edge and the dual-core HTC Ville .

Acer

A possible new Acer tablet has also leaked online recently, with Acer's Iconia A700  which is an attempt to improve its  boring Iconia A500, this time with a quad-core processor update. The A700 is also said to feature a 1080p resolution display.

Samsung and LG

Samsung is guaranteed to be launching a Galaxy S III in 2012, with plenty of internet leaks underlining its existence. Samsung could show it off at CES.
And if Samsung's there, LG won't be far behind. There's recently been a leak of a possible Android 4.0 LG phone called the LG Optimus U1, which could have Ice Cream Sandwitch OS to make it market competitive.

Sony Ericsson

We could see Sony Ericsson show off its previously leaked Xperia Arc  HD at CES.

The latest pics leaked online suggests it will be packing a 4.3-inch LCD display, with a 1280 x 720 pixels HD resolution, with a matte finish and a stylish clear button block. Inside it will house a dual core processor, rumoured to be 1.5GHz Scorpion cores, and 1GB of RAM.
Sony will want to make its recent acquisition of Ericsson's share of the business look like it's paying off, so a prompt unveiling of a new flagship Android phone would go some way to reassuring its shareholders that it was a good buy.
And there could be many more. Recent reports claim Samsung, LG and Motorola have been sourcing quad –core processors  for future smartphone use, so expect multi-core mobiles and tablets to be big news in early 2012.
  Nokia will be at CES 2012  with  a Windows Phone-themed press conference. It will probably be launching the Nokia Lumia  900 which may or may not be US-only. The full specs leaked online include: a 4.3-inch Clear Black Display AMOLED screen, an 1800mAh battery, Carl Zeiss 8MP camera. It should also come with HSPA+  supporting  4G platform.
Cameras 
CES 2012 is going to be interesting for photographers because it is also hosting the PMA (Photo Marketing Association) trade show. All camera manufacturers will be present with few niche product launches.

Samsung

Samsung has already introduced a new compact camera to sit in its "2 View" range of dual screen models and will show the compact off at CES 2012.
The Samsung DV300F features both a rear screen and a front 1.5 inch LCD display. It is also the first model to feature Wi-Fi technology, allowing photographers to email images or upload them to social media sites.

Canon

Canon's EOS 5D Mark II is getting on a bit now and a replacement is hotly tipped for early 2012. This full-frame camera closes the gap  between high-end enthusiast and professional-level models and is a top favourite with those who want to shoot still and high quality video footage.
Canon recently announced that it is developing a full-frame SLR capable of shooting 4K video at 24P (with APS-H cropping).
CANON EOS 5D MK II
Canon is the only major camera manufacturer to not have a compact system camera (CSC)

 

Nikon

 It will update  to update its top-end SLRs with The 12-million pixel full-frame D700 is particularly long in the tooth, with a D800 being widely rumoured to be coming soon. It may feature a 36Mp sensor, which would make it the highest resolution SLR around.

 

Sony

When Sony’  would replace the Alpha 900  which  most likely is  to be called Alpha 950.This would be the first full-frame digital camera to feature a fixed translucent mirror to enable full-time phase detection autofocus in live view mode and blistering-fast continuous shooting rates. It would also be the first full-frame SLR to have an electronic viewfinder (EVF).
It's widely known that Sony produces Nikon's sensors and if Nikon is about to use a 36MP device, it seems likely that Sony is too.

Compact system cameras


Now that Sony has revealed the NEX-7’s impressive EVF, the other manufacturers have lots to catch up .
Olympus has promised a massive improvement in its optional external EVFs in 2012 and is rumoured to launched in February 2012.
And then there's Fuji aiming to become the no.3 camera manufacturer by 2014., perhaps by launching a new mirrorless camera based on its own in-house development.
Fujifilm dropped out of the interchangeable lens market in 2008, but it recently announced it will bring out a mirrorlesssystem camera in mid 2012.